National Construction Workforce Forecasting

Over the past year, BCITO has led a project commissioned by the Dunedin City Council on behalf of the five Otago based territorial authorities, Ngāi Tahu, and the Ministry of Social Development to forecast workforce demand over the next 15 years.

The objective of this project is to identify regional supply channels into the wider construction sector, including civil infrastructure, residential and commercial construction.

The initial Otago Construction Workforce Forecasting Project has already provided clear evidence of industry and regional benefits from having a Forecasting Tool available, most notably:

  1. Tangible and robust economic market forecasts to support response planning; and
  2. Faster and more accurate identification, prioritisation, and promotion of both issues and potential options for action.

The Tertiary Education Commission (TEC) has recognised the value of regional workforce forecasting and has funded BCITO to take the lessons and initial model from the Otago Construction Workforce Forecasting Project, refine it and apply it to Construction Industry Skills Forecasting across Aotearoa New Zealand’s 15 regions. This will include incorporating new sources of national data and regional project-based demand, suitable for a nationally-deployable Forecasting Tool.

This new National Construction Workforce Forecasting project involves two strands.

  1. Analysing and publishing supply and demand data to identify gaps and surpluses in particular regional labour markets.
  2. Working with regions to identify their specific Construction Workforce issues, and help identifying local solutions to make sure the Construction industry has access to the right people, with the right skills, in the right place, at the right time.

By the end of 2021, we will have developed 15 Regional Construction and Infrastructure Workforce Forecasts with supporting issues and opportunities.

If you would like to be part of developing a solution in your region, visit local solutions to complete a short survey, and we’ll be in touch when we start work in your region.

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