The challenge

With approximately $15 billion of significant construction projects forecast over the next 15 years, the Ministry of Social Development (MSD or the Ministry) and Dunedin City Council, along with key regional stakeholders and industry, wish to understand regional labour supply and demand.

Who are the key regional stakeholders?

Key stakeholders involved in this project are Dunedin City Council, Clutha District Council, Waitaki District Council, Central Otago District Council, Queenstown Lakes District Council, Ngāi Tahu, the five Otago Regional Economic Development Agencies, Otago Chamber of Commerce, Otago Southland Employers Association and the Ministry of Social Development who is the representative government agency for this project.

The solutions

BCITO and partners Infometrics and Martin Jenkins successfully responded to the request for proposals to identify industry demand: 

  • Planned and proposed construction projects (e.g. the redevelopment of the Dunedin Hospital) across the region over the next 15 years; 
  • Labour market forecasting including industry skills and training demands across the Otago region (including Queenstown Lakes, Central Otago, Clutha, Dunedin and Waitaki). 

The project is intended to create visibility over the skills and trades required by industry over the next 15 years and any potential supply and demand issues, pressures and needs. The outcome of the project will be the preparation of a report and underlying flexible model (which can be adjusted for different assumptions) that sets out industry demand over the 15-year period. 

Project considerations

The report and model will need to take account of a separate report on training supply (being led concurrently by the Otago Chamber of Commerce) which is expected to create visibility over current local workforce capacity and resulting opportunities. 

Together the two projects are intended to create visibility over both demand and supply and inform options for industry, training providers, councils, government agencies and others on potential activities, projects and measures.

What we need

We need to gain visibility on large infrastructure and building construction projects across the Otago and Southland regions over the next 15 years. In addition we need to understand the timing of the projects and expected labour and infrastructure requirements. We are also gathering information on the current and projected regional labour supply and issues facing the regions such as accommodation.

The project will provide options on issues facing the wider construction sector including recruitment, training and upskilling of workers in construction and associated industries. To help us identify projects and workforce-related trends please complete the survey below.

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Regional consultation

In November 2019 the project team presented three regional updates on the Otago & Southland Construction Workforce Forecasting Project.  Stay up to date by having a look at the presentation.